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基于家庭生活方式转型意愿的消费侧碳减排潜力差异性分析
摘要点击 2089  全文点击 446  投稿时间:2023-09-09  修订日期:2024-02-07
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中文关键词  家庭生活方式转型  消费侧碳减排  虚拟回归  差异化政策  低碳行为
英文关键词  family lifestyle transition  carbon reduction from consumption  virtual regression  difference polices  low- carbon behavior
作者单位E-mail
潘艺 浙江财经大学土地与城乡发展研究院, 杭州 310018
浙江省八八战略研究院, 杭州 310018 
ypangis@zufe.edu.cn 
祝锦霞 浙江财经大学土地与城乡发展研究院, 杭州 310018
浙江省八八战略研究院, 杭州 310018 
jxzhu@zufe.edu.cn 
杨丽霞 浙江财经大学公共管理学院, 杭州 310018  
石薇 浙江财经大学数据科学学院, 杭州 310018  
邱乐丰 浙江财经大学土地与城乡发展研究院, 杭州 310018
浙江省八八战略研究院, 杭州 310018 
 
吴绍华 浙江财经大学土地与城乡发展研究院, 杭州 310018
浙江省八八战略研究院, 杭州 310018 
 
秦玉洁 浙江财经大学土地与城乡发展研究院, 杭州 310018  
中文摘要
      城市是居民、产业和能源消耗的聚集地,由城市居民消费侧产生的碳排放问题日益突出,“双碳”目标下如何有效引导城市家庭生活方式转型实现消费侧碳减排已成为重要议题. 通过对杭州市城区居民的问卷调查和面对面访谈,利用碳排放系数法定量测算“衣、食、住、行”这4个维度城市家庭生活方式转型意愿下的消费侧碳减排潜力. 运用虚拟回归模型分析消费侧碳减排潜力的显著性差异,选择二值逻辑回归分析家庭生活方式转型意愿差异显著的影响因素和强弱关系,并提出引导家庭生活方式转型的差异化碳减排政策. 结果表明: ①基于家庭生活方式转型意愿测算的消费侧碳减排潜力差异显著. 其中,用电量对家庭消费侧碳减排潜力影响最大. ②年龄和家庭年收入是导致家庭生活方式转型意愿差异显著的关键因子且影响程度不同. ③个人习惯、周围人的示范效应和时间成本等因素也会对家庭生活方式转型意愿产生重要影响. 本研究结果能够为从消费侧探索碳减排路径提供具体方向和量化依据,有利于制定差异化的消费侧碳减排策略,为实现“双碳”目标提供理论参考.
英文摘要
      Cities are gathering places for residents, industries, and energy consumption, and the carbon emissions generated by urban residents' consumption are becoming increasingly prominent. Under the “dual carbon” goal, how to effectively guide the transformation of urban households' lifestyles and achieve consumption side carbon reduction has become an important issue. Based on questionnaire surveys and face-to-face interviews in the main districts of Hangzhou, the total amount and component of household consumption carbon reduction potential in Hangzhou were calculated by adopting a carbon emission coefficient model, and the relevant factors influencing various types of household consumption behaviors and carbon reduction potential were analyzed through virtual regression models and binary logistic regression. Our results showed that the consumption carbon reduction potential of different groups of residents in the four dimensions of food, clothing, housing, and transportation was significantly different, and electricity consumption had significant direct and indirect impacts on household consumption behaviors and carbon reduction potentials. Age and income were the key factors leading to significant differences in the carbon reduction potential of household consumption. Economic interests and environmental emotional factors were the main factors that affected the transformation of residents' family lifestyle, and their strengths and weaknesses were different. Personal habits, demonstration effects of surrounding people, time costs, etc., were the main reasons affecting residents' willingness to transform their lifestyles. The findings therefore had important implications for climate change mitigation and policy measures associated with lifestyle. On the premise of ensuring stable economic development and improving the well-being of residents, differentiation guides the lifestyle choices of community residents providing reference for better realization of the “double carbon” goal.

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