| 城市群减污降碳与经济高质量发展的耦合及交互响应关系 |
| 摘要点击 2725 全文点击 312 投稿时间：2023-11-27 修订日期：2024-02-13 |
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| 中文关键词 减污降碳 协同增效 经济高质量发展 耦合关系 交互响应 城市群 |
| 英文关键词 pollution control and carbon emission reduction synergistic effect high-quality economic development coupling relationship interactive response urban agglomerations |
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| 中文摘要 |
| 碳中和碳达峰目标与双循环战略统筹发展是实现生态绿色低碳转型的重要环节,也是经济高质量发展的重要载体.基于减污降碳协同增效与经济高质量发展的内在要求,探讨减污降碳与经济高质量发展耦合机制,并以中国三大城市群为案例区,分别构建减污降碳协同增效和经济高质量发展综合指标体系,运用综合评价模型、耦合协调度模型和面板向量自回归（PVAR）模型,实证分析2010~2020年中国三大城市群减污降碳协同增效与经济高质量耦合与交互关系.结果表明：①减污降碳和高质量综合发展指数总体呈现增长态势；减污降碳协同增效综合水平整体上长三角城市群优于珠三角和京津冀城市群；各城市间经济高质量发展水平差异显著,整体偏高.②从耦合关系看,研究期间均由勉强协调水平进入初级协调水平,最终演变为中级协调水平；空间特征呈现以位于直辖市和省会城市等行政级别较高的城市为中心连片发展的特点.③从动态关系看,减污降碳与经济高质量发展之间存在正向的相互作用,即两者的发展会相互促进；长三角和珠三角城市群减污降碳对高质量发展正向冲击的响应高于京津冀城市群. |
| 英文摘要 |
| The coordinated development of the carbon neutral peak target and dual cycle strategy is an important link to realize the transformation of ecological green and low carbon and also an important carrier of high-quality economic development. Based on the inherent requirements of the synergistic effect of pollution control and carbon emission reduction and high-quality economic development, the coupling mechanism of pollution control and carbon emission reduction and high-quality economic development was discussed. Taking the three major urban agglomerations in China as examples, the comprehensive index system of the synergistic effect of pollution control and carbon emission reduction and high-quality economic development were constructed, respectively. The comprehensive evaluation model, coupling coordination degree model, and panel vector autoregression （PAVR） model were used to empirically analyze the coupling and interaction between the synergistic effect of pollution control and carbon emission reduction and high-quality economic development in the three major urban agglomerations in China from 2010 to 2020. The research showed that： ① The comprehensive development index of pollution control and carbon emission reduction and high-quality economic development showed an overall growth trend. The comprehensive level of pollution control and carbon emission reduction synergy in the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration was better than that in the Pearl River Delta urban agglomeration and Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration. There were significant differences in the level of high-quality economic development among cities, and the overall level was high. ② From the perspective of the coupling relationship, during the study period, the level of reluctant coordination entered the primary coordination level and finally evolved into the intermediate coordination level. The spatial characteristics showed the characteristics of contiguous development centered on cities with higher administrative levels, such as municipalities and provincial capitals. ③ From the perspective of the dynamic relationship, there was a positive interaction between pollution control and carbon emission reduction and high-quality economic development, that is, the development of the two could promote each other. The response of pollution control and carbon emission reduction in the Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta urban agglomerations to the positive impact of high-quality development was higher than that in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration. |
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