| 环渤海山东区耕地NPP时空变化特征及其驱动因子探测 |
| 摘要点击 2165 全文点击 392 投稿时间：2023-09-05 修订日期：2023-10-30 |
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| 中文关键词 耕地 植被净初级生产力 参数最优地理探测器（OPGD） 时空特征 驱动因子 环渤海山东区 |
| 英文关键词 cultivated land net primary productivity of vegetation optical parameters-based geographical detectors（OPGD） spatiotemporal characteristics driver factors Bohai Rim Shandong Region |
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| 中文摘要 |
| 环渤海平原区是中国重要的粮食产区、耕地资源生产潜力大但影响因素多,摸清该地区耕地植被净初级生产力（NPP）的时空变化特征及其驱动因子,对于改善区域耕地生产条件、挖掘和提升耕地生产能力、保障国家粮食安全具有重要意义.采用Theil-Sen Median趋势分析、 Mann-Kendall显著性检验和Hurst指数等方法探讨区域耕地NPP时空变化特征及其稳定性和持续性；借助参数最优地理探测器模型,分析驱动因素对耕地NPP空间异质性的影响.结果表明：①2001~2019年,受工业化和城镇化过程中建设用地扩张影响,环渤海山东区耕地数量累计减少2 004.51 km2；②研究时段内,年均耕地NPP呈波动增加趋势,在空间分布上耕地NPP呈现以东营区为界,北部明显低于南部的空间分异性；③耕地NPP呈增加趋势的面积占耕地总面积88.06%,以较低波动与中等波动为主,未来全区域耕地NPP将保持整体持续增加趋势；④年均相对湿度对研究区耕地NPP空间分异解释力最强,q值为0.26；其次为表层土壤含盐量、底层土壤含盐量,q值均大于0.2.不同驱动因子间的交互作用均表现为非线性增强或双因子增强.研究结果有助于揭示环渤海地区耕地产能变化特征及其驱动力,亦可为该区域生态保护与可持续发展提供理论依据. |
| 英文摘要 |
| The Bohai Rim Plain is an important grain-producing area in China. The cultivated land resources have great potential for production, but there are many influencing factors. Understanding the spatiotemporal change characteristics and driving factors of the net primary productivity （NPP） of cultivated land vegetation in this region is of great significance to improve the regional cultivated land production conditions, excavate and enhance the production capacity of cultivated land, and ensure national food security. In this study, Theil-Sen Median trend analysis, Mann-Kendall significance test, Hurst index, and other methods were used to explore the spatiotemporal change characteristics, stability, and sustainability of regional cultivated land NPP. The influence of driving factors on the spatial heterogeneity of cultivated land NPP was analyzed by using optical parameters-based geographical detectors. The results showed that： ① From 2001 to 2019, due to the expansion of construction land during industrialization and urbanization, the cumulative decrease in the area of cultivated land in the Shandong area around the Bohai Sea was 2 004.51 km2. ② During the selected research period, the interannual variation of average cultivated land NPP showed a fluctuating and increasing trend. In terms of spatial distribution, the NPP of cultivated land was bounded by the Dongying District, with the spatial heterogeneity in the north being significantly lower than that in the south. ③ The area with increasing NPP of cultivated land accounted for 88.06% of the total area of cultivated land, mainly with low and medium fluctuations. The NPP of cultivated land will maintain an overall sustained trend of increase across the region in the future. ④ The average annual relative humidity study area had the strongest explanatory power for the spatial variability of NPP in cropland, with a q-value of 0.26, followed by surface soil salinity and subsoil salinity, with q-values greater than 0.2. The interactions between the different drivers all showed either nonlinear enhancement or bifactorial enhancement. The results of this study will help to reveal the characteristics of the changes in cultivated land production capacity and its driving forces in the Bohai Sea region and also provide a theoretical basis for the ecological protection and sustainable development of the region. |
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