污染物浓度预测的PPR模型 |
摘要点击 777 全文点击 2043 投稿时间:1996-12-11 |
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中文关键词 环境污染 污染物 预测 投影寻踪 回归模型 |
英文关键词 environmental pollution pollutant forecast projection pursuit regressive model |
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中文摘要 |
采用投影寻踪回归技术的审视数据-模拟-预测新思路,对环境监测数据进行探索性分析,建立了污染物浓度预测的PPR模型。该模型用于水污染物BOD和DO浓度预测结果,其建模样本拟合合格率为100%,预留检验样本预测合格率达83.3%。 |
英文摘要 |
A projection pursuit regr essive model on concentration forecast of pollutant was invest igated by analysing environmental monitoring data. Use is being made of the new idea of examination of data-simulation-forecast of projection pursuit regressive techniques. Concentration forecast of water pollutants BOD and DO were carried out, respectively, using this model. The results of the forecasts showed that the qualified rates of fitting and forecasting of the model acquire 100% and 83.3%, respectively. |