| 新质生产力对降碳减污协同的影响机制及空间溢出效应 |
| 摘要点击 394 全文点击 13 投稿时间：2025-09-09 修订日期：2025-11-05 |
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| 中文关键词 新质生产力（NQPF） 降碳减污 环境协同治理 空间溢出效应 |
| 英文关键词 new quality productive forces（NQPF） carbon reduction and pollution control coordinated environmental governance spatial spillover effects |
| DOI 10.13227/j.hjkx.202509119 |
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| 中文摘要 |
| 当前，我国生态文明建设肩负着生态环境根本好转与碳达峰碳中和的双重目标. 在此背景下，充分发挥新质生产力在培育新兴产业、创新发展模式与激发绿色动能方面的核心作用，协同推进降碳减污，已成为实现经济社会全面绿色转型的必由之路. 基于2012~2023年中国284个地级市面板数据，实证检验新质生产力对降碳减污协同的影响机制及其空间溢出效应. 结果表明：①新质生产力显著提高城市降碳减污协同治理水平，这一结论经过多种稳健性检验后依然成立；②异质性分析表明新质生产力的降碳减污效应在环境规制较强、低碳试点和中部地区中更强；③机制检验表明，新质生产力通过促进绿色技术创新和推动产业结构升级从而实现降碳减污协同治理；④新质生产力不仅能够促进本地区降碳减污协同，还有助于提高邻近城市降碳减污协同治理水平即存在显著的空间溢出效应. 研究为理解新质生产力在区域环境协同治理中的作用提供了理论与经验证据，并为跨区域协同推进绿色低碳发展提供了政策启示. |
| 英文摘要 |
| At present， China's ecological civilization endeavors bear the dual objectives of fundamentally improving the ecological environment and achieving carbon peaking and carbon neutrality. Against this backdrop， fully leveraging the core role of new-type productive forces in nurturing emerging industries， innovating development models， and stimulating green momentum， while synergistically advancing carbon reduction and pollution control， has become the essential pathway to realizing a comprehensive green transformation of the economy and society. Using panel data from 284 prefecture-level cities in China spanning 2012-2023， this study empirically examines the impact mechanism and spatial spillover effects of new-type productive forces on the synergistic reduction of carbon emissions and pollution. The findings reveal that： ① New-type productive forces significantly enhanced the level of coordinated carbon reduction and pollution control in cities， a conclusion that remained robust after multiple stability tests. ② Heterogeneity analysis indicated that the carbon reduction and pollution control effects of new-type productive forces were stronger in regions with stricter environmental regulations， low-carbon pilot zones， and central China. ③ Mechanism tests showed that new-type productive forces achieved coordinated carbon reduction and pollution control by promoting green technological innovation and driving industrial structure upgrading. ④ New-type productive forces not only enhanced regional synergistic carbon reduction and pollution control but also elevated the synergistic governance levels of neighboring cities， indicating a significant spatial spillover effect. This research provides theoretical and empirical evidence for understanding the role of new-type productive forces in regional environmental governance and offers policy implications for advancing green and low-carbon development through cross-regional collaboration. |
