| 农村数字经济发展对农业低碳转型的影响与作用机制 |
| 摘要点击 566 全文点击 8 投稿时间：2025-06-19 修订日期：2025-09-19 |
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| 中文关键词 农村数字经济 农业低碳转型 环境治理 机制分析 区域异质性 |
| 英文关键词 rural digital economy agricultural low-carbon transformation environmental governance mechanism analysis regional heterogeneity |
| DOI 10.13227/j.hjkx.202506235 |
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| 中文摘要 |
| 作为乡村振兴与低碳发展战略的重要支撑，农村数字经济发展在农业低碳转型中的作用日益凸显. 基于2010~2023年30个省份的面板数据，构建双向固定效应模型，系统评估农村数字经济发展对农业低碳转型的影响，并从中介效应、门槛效应与区域异质性这3个维度探讨其作用机制. 结果表明：①农村数字经济发展显著推动农业低碳转型，该结论在多项稳健性检验下依然稳定成立；②机制检验表明，农村数字经济发展通过提升地区经济发展水平显著推动农业低碳转型；③门槛效应检验表明，随着农村人力资本水平提升，农村数字经济发展对农业低碳转型的促进作用越强；而当政府环境治理力度较弱时，该作用未能有效释放；④区域异质性分析发现，农村数字经济发展对农业低碳转型的促进作用在“胡焕庸线”两侧存在显著差异. |
| 英文摘要 |
| As a vital support for rural revitalization and low-carbon development strategies， the role of rural digital economy development in promoting agricultural low-carbon transformation has become increasingly prominent. Based on panel data from 30 provinces in China during 2010-2023， this study constructs a two-way fixed effects model to systematically evaluate the impact of rural digital economy development on agricultural low-carbon transformation. Furthermore， it explores the underlying mechanisms from the perspectives of mediation effects， threshold effects， and regional heterogeneity. The results show that： ① Rural digital economy development significantly promoted agricultural low-carbon transformation， and this conclusion remained robust across various tests. ② Mechanism analysis revealed that rural digital economy development advanced agricultural low-carbon transformation primarily by enhancing regional economic development. ③ Threshold effect tests indicated that the promotive impact of rural digital economy development became stronger with higher levels of rural human capital， while the effect failed to be effectively triggered under weak government environmental governance. ④ Regional heterogeneity analysis revealed significant disparities in the impact of rural digital economy development on agricultural low-carbon transformation across the two sides of the “Hu Huanyong Line.” |
