| 中国机场航空碳排放时空特征、影响因素及脱钩效应 |
| 摘要点击 252 全文点击 11 投稿时间:2025-03-22 修订日期:2025-07-31 |
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| 中文关键词 机场航空碳排放 环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC) Tapio模型 LMDI分解模型 时空特征 |
| 英文关键词 airport aviation carbon emissions environmental Kuznets curve(EKC) Tapio model LMDI decomposition model spatiotemporal characteristics |
| DOI 10.13227/j.hjkx.202503256 |
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| 中文摘要 |
| 选用中国2014~2023年机场航空碳排放数据,建立机场航空碳排放计量模型,通过环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)构建非线性回归模型,从理论层面验证航空碳排放与机场业务量间的动态演变轨迹,借助Tapio模型探讨中国机场航空碳排放与机场业务的脱钩关系,运用对数平均迪式指数分解模型(LMDI)分析影响碳排放的因素. 结果发现,全国及东部地区机场碳排放二阶差分处理后EKC呈下降型,中部和西部地区机场EKC呈倒“N”型. 全国整体以及东部、中部和西部地区机场脱钩状态均呈现出向弱脱钩方向发展的趋势. 经济生产总值对机场航空碳排放起到正向促进作用,人口规模对机场航空碳排放影响不明显,产业规模对机场航空碳排放影响较明显,运输强度和能源强度的驱动因素在整个研究期内影响不稳定. |
| 英文摘要 |
| In this study, airport aviation carbon emission data from 2014 to 2023 in China are used to establish an airport aviation carbon emission measurement model. The environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) and Tapio model are applied to analyze the decoupling relationship between airport aviation carbon emissions and airport business development, while the logarithmic mean Divisia index(LMDI) decomposition model is used to analyze the driving factors of carbon emissions. The results showed that after second-order differencing, the EKCs of airports in the national and eastern regions presented decreasing trends, while the EKCs of airports in the central and western regions exhibited inverted N-shaped trends. The decoupling status of airports in the national, eastern, central, and western regions exhibited a trend toward weak decoupling. The economic gross domestic product played a positive role in promoting airport aviation carbon emissions, the population size had little impact on airport aviation carbon emissions, and the industrial scale had a more significant influence on airport aviation carbon emissions. The driving factors of transportation intensity and energy intensity were unstable throughout the study period. |