| 中国工业结构升级与生态环境时空协同演化特征及影响因素 |
| 摘要点击 509 全文点击 9 投稿时间：2025-03-07 修订日期：2025-06-06 |
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| 中文关键词 工业结构升级 生态环境 耦合协调 时空演化 影响因素 |
| 英文关键词 industrial structure upgrading ecological environment coupling coordination spatiotemporal evolution influencing factors |
| DOI 10.13227/j.hjkx.202503083 |
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| 中文摘要 |
| 基于2011~2021年省级面板数据，综合运用耦合协调度模型、Dagum基尼系数分解法和地理探测器等方法，系统解析中国工业结构升级与生态环境耦合协调的时空分异规律及自然-社会经济交互效应. 结果表明：①2011~2021年，中国工业结构升级与生态环境耦合协调度呈上升趋势，但整体仍处于初级协调阶段，东部地区耦合协调度显著高于其他地区. ②耦合协调度等级遵循“东高西低”阶梯式分布格局以及“东部领先，西部追赶”的演变格局. ③区域间差异是总体差异的主要来源，东部与西部、东北地区的发展断层是核心矛盾. ④地理探测器结果显示，研发强度与对外开放是耦合协调度的主导社会经济因子，植被覆盖度与年降水量为关键自然地理约束. 年降水量与研发强度的交互作用对耦合协调度具有决定性影响. 研究旨在揭示中国工业结构升级与生态环境时空协同演化特征及影响因素，可为区域差异化工业绿色转型提供科学依据. |
| 英文摘要 |
| This study systematically investigates the spatiotemporal differentiation patterns and natural-socioeconomic interactive effects between industrial structure upgrading and ecological environment coupling coordination in China， utilizing provincial panel data from 2011 to 2021. A comprehensive methodology was employed， including the coupling coordination degree model， Dagum Gini coefficient decomposition， and geographical detector analysis. Key findings revealed that： ① The coupling coordination degree between industrial structure upgrading and ecological environment exhibited an upward trend nationwide during the study period yet remained predominantly at a primary coordination stage. Significant regional disparities persisted， with eastern China demonstrating markedly higher coordination levels than in other regions. ② Spatial patterns followed a distinct stepped distribution of “east-high vs. west-low，” accompanied by an evolutionary trajectory of “eastern leadership and western catch-up.” ③ Inter-regional differences constituted the primary source of overall coordination disparity， particularly highlighting development gaps between eastern China and western/northeastern regions as core contradictions. ④ Geographical detector analysis identified research and development （R&D） intensity and openness level as dominant socioeconomic drivers， while vegetation coverage and annual precipitation emerged as critical natural constraints. Notably， the interaction between annual precipitation and R&D intensity exerted decisive influence on coupling coordination. This research elucidates the spatiotemporal co-evolution mechanisms and driving factors between industrial transformation and ecological sustainability， providing scientific support for formulating regionally differentiated strategies to promote green industrial transition in China. |
