| 西北省（区）旅游业碳边际减排成本时空演变特征及影响因素 |
| 摘要点击 214 全文点击 19 投稿时间：2024-04-14 修订日期：2024-07-01 |
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| 中文关键词 旅游业 碳边际减排成本 （MCAC） 碳生产率 松弛的数据包络分析（SBM-DEA） 影响因素 |
| 英文关键词 tourism carbon emission marginal abatement cost （MCAC） carbon productivity slacks-based measure data envelopment analysis （SBM-DEA） influencing factor |
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| 中文摘要 |
| 旅游业产生的碳排放量正在成为温室气体排放中重要的组成部分,这无疑会增加旅游地区的碳减排成本.碳边际减排成本（MCAC）在平衡旅游收益和碳减排行动之间关系中发挥着重要作用.采用SBM-DEA模型,运用线性规划方法测算并分析了2001~2021年西北省（区）旅游业碳边际减排成本及其时空演变特征,探讨了影响旅游碳边际减排成本变化的因素,并进行了稳健性和内生性检验.结果表明,西北省（区）旅游业碳边际减排成本年均值由2001年的706.78元·t-1增至2021年的2 651.04元·t-1.旅游业碳边际减排成本的区域异质性明显,差距逐渐扩大.碳排放强度与旅游业碳边际减排成本呈“U”型关系.能源结构对旅游业碳边际减排成本有着显著的负向影响,而产业结构、科技水平、城市化水平和游客规模则有显著的正向影响.建议制定西北省（区）旅游业碳减排目标和差异化的碳减排行动,建立跨域合作机制,制定统一的绿色旅游标准和认证体系,推广绿色旅游线路,健全区域旅游低碳监测预警机制,制定旅游景区能源管理计划,建立绿色低碳旅游的监测、评估与披露机制,提升绿色旅游品质,实现旅游业绿色增长与碳减排的“双赢”. |
| 英文摘要 |
| The carbon emissions generated by tourism are becoming an important part of greenhouse gas emissions, which will undoubtedly increase the cost of carbon emission reduction in tourist areas. Marginal carbon abatement cost （MCAC） plays an important role in balancing the relationship between tourism benefits and carbon emission reduction actions. Due to the lack of unified standards for MCAC calculation methods and research scales in the tourism industry and the lack of consensus on accounting principles and analysis methods of the influencing factors, obtaining scientific support for setting carbon tax rates and improving carbon emission trading based on MCAC in practice are difficult. Based on the slacks-based measure data envelopment analysis model, the linear programming method is used to measure and analyze the MCAC of tourism in Northwest China from 2001 to 2021 and its spatial and temporal evolution characteristics. The factors affecting the change of MCAC of tourism are discussed and the robustness and endogeneity tests are passed. The results show that the annual average value of MCAC in tourism in the northwest provinces increased from 706.78 yuan·t-1 in 2001 to 2 651.04 yuan·t-1 in 2021. The regional heterogeneity of MCAC in tourism was obvious, and the gap was gradually expanding. There was a “U”-shaped relationship between carbon emission intensity and MCAC in tourism. Therefore, it is proposed to implement carbon emission reduction actions on the basis of effectively balancing the relationship between green tourism development and MCAC. Further study showed that energy structure had a significant negative impact on the MCAC in tourism. The industrial structure, technological level, urbanization level, and tourist scale had a significant positive impact. Therefore, it is emphasized that the regional heterogeneity of MCAC in tourism is not only an important factor in the development of local tourism but also that the significant difference will provide conditions for the establishment of a carbon emission trading market. It is suggested to formulate carbon emission reduction targets and differentiated carbon emission reduction actions for tourism in northwest provinces； establish cooperation mechanisms among provinces； formulate unified green tourism standards and certification systems； promote cross-regional green tourism routes； improve low-carbon monitoring and early warning mechanisms for regional tourism； carry out green low-carbon tourism demonstration projects； formulate energy management plans for tourist attractions； establish monitoring, evaluation, and disclosure mechanisms for green low-carbon tourism； improve the quality of green tourism； and realize the “win-win” of green growth in tourism and carbon emission reduction. |
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