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“双碳”目标下中国省域碳排放核算分析
摘要点击 2379  全文点击 773  投稿时间:2022-02-14  修订日期:2022-04-13
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中文关键词  三重视角分析  多区域投入产出分析  省际贸易  碳排放流  政策制定
英文关键词  three-perspective analysis  multi-region input-output analysis  inter-provincial trade  CO2 emission flow  policymaking
作者单位E-mail
杨柏 重庆工商大学工商管理学院, 重庆 400074 2692852010@qq.com 
秦广鹏 重庆工商大学工商管理学院, 重庆 400074 1286268304@qq.com 
邬钦 重庆工商大学工商管理学院, 重庆 400074  
中文摘要
      对各省域CO2排放量进行核算能够确定中国CO2排放的主要贡献者,为碳减排决策提供相关信息.以往的研究表明,核算视角的不同会导致碳排放水平的差异.在多区域投入产出分析框架的基础上,基于不同能源类型,量化中国由生产、需求和供给驱动的省级CO2排放量,构建能源-碳排放关系模型,对我国CO2排放进行综合分析.结果发现:①由煤炭导致的CO2排放占比57.2%(生产视角)、60.7%(消费视角)和58.2%(收入视角).②各产业部门中,电力、热力、燃气及水的生产和供应部门CO2排放占比49.1%(生产视角)、70.2%(消费视角)和14.2%(收入视角).③河北、内蒙古、河南和辽宁等高度工业化省份的碳减排政策应侧重生产侧;东部沿海发达省份和矿产资源丰富省份的政策应分别侧重需求侧和供给侧.④以往被忽略的第三产业在收入视角下贡献了大量的CO2排放.因此各省份及产业部门需要在生产、需求和供给侧制定差别化且具有针对性的碳减排政策才能减少CO2的排放,实现"双碳"目标.
英文摘要
      The accounting of provincial CO2 emissions can determine the main contributors to CO2 emissions and provide relevant information for CO2 emission reduction decisions. Previous studies have shown that different accounting perspectives often lead to different levels of CO2 emission. On the basis of the multi-regional input-output analysis framework, considering different energy types and separately quantifying China's provincial CO2 emissions driven by production, demand, and supply, an energy-carbon emission relationship model was established to promote the comprehensive analysis of CO2 emissions in China. The results showed that:① the CO2 emissions caused by coal accounted for 57.2% (production perspective), 60.7% (consumption perspective), and 58.2% (income perspective). ② Among the industrial sectors, the CO2 emissions from the production and supply sectors of electricity, heat, gas, and water accounted for 49.1% (production perspective), 70.2% (consumption perspective), and 14.2% (income perspective). ③ CO2 emission reduction policies in highly industrialized provinces such as Hebei, Inner Mongolia, Henan, and Liaoning should focus on the production side. The policies of the developed eastern coastal provinces and the provinces rich in mineral resources should focus on the demand side and the supply side, respectively. ④ The tertiary industry, which has been neglected in the past, contributed a lot of CO2 emissions from the perspective of income. Therefore, the provinces and industrial departments need to formulate differentiated and targeted CO2 reduction policies on the supply, demand, and production sides to reduce CO2 emissions and achieve the carbon peak and carbon neutralization goals.

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